@article{KangEtAl2023,
  year = {2023},
  publisher = {IOP Publishing},
  pages = {6372},
  volume = {13},
  author = {Namyoung Kang and Chan Joo Jang and James B. Elsner},
  title = {More than unfamiliar environmental connection to super typhoon climatology},
  journal = {Scientific Reports},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-33104-3},
  doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-33104-3}
  }

@article{HolmesEtAl2021,
author = {Tisha Joseph Holmes and John Mathias and Tyler McCreary and James Brian Elsner},
title ={What's the problem with disaster? Anthropology, social work, and the qualitative slot},
journal = {Qualitative Social Work},
volume = {20},
number = {6},
pages = {1496-1516},
year = {2021},
doi = {10.1177/14733250211039517},
URL = {https://doi.org/10.1177/14733250211039517}
}

@article{KangElsner2021,
  year = {2021},
  publisher = {IOP Publishing},
  pages = {014017},
  volume = {16},
  author = {Namyoung Kang and James B. Elsner},
  title = {Interpretation of the statistical/dynamical prediction for seasonal tropical storm frequency in the western North Pacific},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2021.pdf}
  }

@article{Elsner2020,
  year = {2020},
  publisher = {American Meteorological Society},
  pages = {1301-1303},
  volume = {101},
  author = {James B. Elsner},
  title = {Continued increases in the intensity of strong tropical cyclones},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/8/E1301/346683/Continued-Increases-in-the-Intensity-of-Strong}
  }

@article{SchroderElsner2020,
    year = {2020},
    publisher = {Wiley},
    pages = {3150-3160},
    volume = {40},
    author = {Zoe Schroder and James B. Elsner},
    title = {Quantifying relationships between environmental factors and power dissipation on the most prolific days in the largest tornado `outbreaks'},
    journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/SchroderElsner2020.pdf}
    }

@article{ElsnerSchroder2019,
    year = {2019},
    publisher = {American Meteorological Society},
    pages = {2733-2741},
    author = {James B. Elsner and Zoe Schroder},
    title = {Tornado damage ratings estimated with cumulative logistic regression},
    journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerSchroder2019.pdf}
    }
    
@article{ElsnerElsner2019,
    year = {2019},
    doi = {10.1002/joc.6308},
    publisher = {Wiley},
    pages = {1-12},
    author = {James B. Elsner and Svetoslava C. Elsner},
    title = {{More hots: Quantifying upward trends in the number of extremely hot days and nights in Tallahassee, Florida, USA: 1892--2018}},
    journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerElsner2019.pdf}
    }

@article{FrickerElsner2019,
  doi = {10.1080/24694452.2019.1638753},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/24694452.2019.1638753},
  year = {2019},
  month = sep,
  publisher = {Informa {UK} Limited},
  pages = {1--15},
  author = {Tyler Fricker and James B. Elsner},
  title = {Unusually devastating tornadoes in the United States: 1995--2016},
  journal = {Annals of the American Association of Geographers},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrickerElsner2019.pdf}
}

@article{KangElsner2019,
	year = 2019,
	month = {apr},
	publisher = {{IOP} Publishing},
	volume = {14},
	number = {4},
	pages = {044027},
	author = {Nam-Young Kang and James B Elsner},
	title = {Influence of global warming on the rapid intensification of western North Pacific tropical cyclones},
	journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
	url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2019.pdf}
}

@article{KangEtAl2019,
    author = {Namyoung Kang and Dongjin Kim and James B. Elsner},
    title = {The contribution of super typhoons to tropical cyclone activity in response to ENSO},
    journal = {Scientific Reports},
    year = {2019},
    volume = {9},
    pages = {5046},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangEtAl2019.pdf}
}

@article{BurrisEtAl2019,
    title = {Extracting weather information from a plantation document},
    author = {Gregory Burris and Jane Washburn and Omar Lasheen and Sophia Dorribo and James B. Elsner and Ronald E. Doel},
    journal = {Climates of the Past},
    year = {2019},
    volume = {15},
    pages = {477-492},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/BurrisEtAl2019.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerFrickerSchroder2019,
    title = {Increasingly powerful tornadoes in the United States},
    author = {James B. Elsner and Tyler Fricker and Zoe Schroder},
    journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
    year = {2019},
    volume = 46,
    month = {1},
    day = {3},
    pages = {392-398},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerFrickerSchroder2019.pdf}
}

@article{KangElsner2018,
  author = {Namyoung Kang and James B. Elsner},
  title = {{The changing validity of tropical cyclone warnings under global warming}},
  journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
  year = {2018},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1-4},
  doi = {0.1038/s41612-018-0047-3},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2018.pdf}
  }
  
@article{BurrisElsnerDoel2018,
    author = {Gregory Burris and James Elsner and Ronald E. Doel},
    title = {Plantation records as a source of historical weather and agricultural data},
    journal = {Southeastern Geographer},
    year = {2018},
    volume = {58},
    pages = {348--364},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/BurrisEtAl2018.pdf}
    }
  
@article{ElsnerFrickerBerry2018,
  author = {James B. Elsner and Tyler Fricker and William D. Berry},
  title = {{A model for U.S. tornado casualties involving interaction between damage path estimates of population density and energy dissipation}},
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  year = {2018},
  volume = {57},
  pages = {2035-2046},
  doi = {10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0106.1},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerFrickerBerry2018.pdf}
}

@article{EllisEtAl2018,
  author = {Kelsey Ellis and Lisa Reyes Mason and Kelly N. Gassert and James B. Elsner and Tyler Fricker},
  title = {{Public perception of tornado risk in Tennessee, USA}},
  journal = {International Journal of Biometeorology},
  year = {2018},
  volume = {62},
  pages = {1557-1566},
  doi = {10.1007/s00484-018-1547-x},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/EllisEtAl2018.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerRyanStrode2018,
	author = {James B. Elsner and Emily Ryan and Georgianna Strode},
    title = {Structural property losses from tornadoes in Florida},
    journal = {Weather, Climate, and Society},
    year = 2018,
    volume = 10,
    pages = {253-258},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerRyanStrode2018.pdf}
}

@article{YangEtAl2018,
  author = {Se-Hwan Yang and Nam-Young Kang and James B. Elsner and Youngsin Chun},
  title = {{Influence of global warming on western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensities during 2015}},
  journal = {{Journal of Climate}},
  year = {2018},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {919-925},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/YangEtAl2018.pdf}
}

@article{FrickerElsnerMesevJagger2017,
	author = {Tyler Fricker and James B. Elsner and Victor Mesev and Thomas H. Jagger},
    title = {{A dasymetric method to spatially apportion tornado casualty counts}},
    journal = {{Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk}},
    year = {2017},
    volume = {8},
    pages = {1768-1782},
    publisher = {Taylor & Francis},
    doi = {10.1080/19475705.2017.1386724},
    url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2017.1386724}
    }

@article{HumphreysEtAl2017,
	author = {John Humphreys and James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger and Stephanie Pau},
    title = {{A Bayesian geostatistical approach to modeling global distributions of \emph{Lygodium microphyllum} under projected climate warming}},
    journal = {{Ecological Modelling}},
    year = {2017},
    volume = {363},
    pages = {192-206},
    url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HumphreysEtAl2017.pdf}
    }

@article{FrickerElsnerJagger2017,
	author = {Tyler Fricker and James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger},
    title = {{Population and energy elasticity of tornado casualties}},
    journal = {{Geophysical Research Letters}},
    year = {2017},
    volume = {44},
    pages = {3941-3949},
    doi = {10.1002/2017GL073093},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrickerElsnerJagger2017.pdf}
    }

@article{HumphreysEtAl2017,
	author = {John Humphreys and James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger and AmirSassan Mahjoor},
    title = {{Disaggregating the patchwork: Probabilistic models as tools to predict wetland presence as a continuous gradient}},
    journal = {{Wetlands}},
    year = {2017},
    volume = {37},
    pages = {205-219},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HumphreysElsnerJaggerMahjoor2017.pdf}
}

@article{StrazzoEtAl2016,
	author = {Sarah E. Strazzo and James B. Elsner and Tim E. LaRow, and H. Murakami and Michael Wehner and M. Zhao},
    title = {{The influence of model resolution on the simulated sensitivity of North Atlantic tropical cyclone maximum intensity to sea surface temperature}},
    journal = {{Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems}},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {8},
    pages = {1037-1054},
    doi = {10.1002/2016MS000635}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerFricker2016,
	author = {James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger and Tyler Fricker},
    title = {{Statistical models for tornado climatology: Long and short-term views}},
    journal = {{PLoS ONE}},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {11},
    pages = {e0131090},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerFricker2016.pdf}
    }

@article{FrazaEtAl2016,
	author={Erik Fraza and James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger},
    title={{A space-time statistical climate model for hurricane intensification in the North Atlantic basin}},
    journal={{Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography}},
    volume={2},
    year={2016},
    pages={105-114},
    doi={10.5194/ascmo-2-105-2016},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrazaElsnerJagger2016.pdf}
	}


@article{ElsnerEtAl2016,
	author={James B. Elsner and Tyler Fricker and Holly M. Widen and Carla M. Castillo and John Humphreys and J. Jung and S. Rahman and Amanda Richard and Thomas H. Jagger and T. Bhatrasataponkul and Christian Gredzens and P. Grady Dixon},
    title={The relationship between elevation roughness and tornado activity: A spatial statistical model fit to data from the central Great Plains},
    journal={{Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology}}, 
    volume={55}, 
    year={2016},
    pages={849-859},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerEtAl2016.pdf}
}


@article{WidenFrickerElsner2015,
  title={New methods in tornado climatology},
  author={Widen, Holly M and Fricker, Tyler and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geography Compass},
  volume={9},
  number={4},
  pages={157--168},
  year={2015},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/WidenFrickerElsner2015.pdf}
}

@article{KangElsner2016,
  title={Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world},
  author={Kang, Nam-Young and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={29},
  number={3},
  pages={1051--1057},
  year={2016},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2016.pdf}
}


@article{HodgesJaggerElsner2014,
  title={The sun-hurricane connection: Diagnosing the solar impacts on hurricane frequency over the North Atlantic basin using a space--time model},
  author={Hodges, Robert E and Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Natural Hazards},
  volume={73},
  number={2},
  pages={1063--1084},
  year={2014},
  publisher={Springer Netherlands},
   url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HodgesJaggerElsner2014.pdf}
}

@article{StrikasElsner2013,
  title={Enhanced cloud-to-ground lightning frequency in the vicinity of coal plants and highways in Northern Georgia, USA},
  author={Strikas, Ona M and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Atmospheric Science Letters},
  volume={14},
  number={4},
  pages={243--248},
  year={2013},
  publisher={John Wiley \& Sons, Ltd}
}

@article{ElsnerLewersMalmstadtJagger2011,
  title={Estimating contemporary and future wind-damage losses from hurricanes affecting Eglin air force base, Florida},
  author={Elsner, James B and Lewers, Shawn W and Malmstadt, Jill C and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume={50},
  number={7},
  pages={1514--1526},
  year={2011},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerLewersMalmstadtJagger2011.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerFrickerJaggerMesev2016,
  author={James B. Elsner and Tyler Fricker and Thomas H. Jagger and Victor Mesev},
  journal={International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering},
  pages={1-9},
  title={{Statistical models for predicting tornado rates: Case studies from Oklahoma and the Mid South USA}},
  volume=6,
  year=2016,
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerFrickerJaggerMesev2016.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerMurnaneJaggerWiden2013,
  author={James B. Elsner and Richard J. Murnane and Thomas H. Jagger and Holly M. Widen},
  title={{A spatial point process model for violent tornado occurrence in the U.S. Great Plains}},
  journal={{Mathematical Geosciences}},
  year={2013},
  volume={45},
  pages={667-679},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerMurnaneJaggerWiden2013.pdf}
}

@article{FrickerElsner2015,
  author={Tyler Fricker and James B. Elsner},
  journal={{PLoS ONE}},
  title={{Kinetic energy of tornadoes in the United States}},
  volume={10},
  year={2015},
  pages={e0131090},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrickerElsner2015.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsnerWiden2015,
  author={Thomas H. Jagger and James B. Elsner and Holly M. Widen},
  title={A statistical model for regional tornado climate studies},
  journal={{PLoS ONE}},
  year=2015,
  volume={10},
  number={8},
  pages={e0131876},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsnerWiden2015.pdf}
}

@article{FrickerElsnerCampJagger2014,
  author={Tyler Fricker and James B. Elsner and Parks Camp and Thomas H. Jagger},
  title={{Empirical estimates of kinetic energy from some recent U.S. tornadoes}},
  journal={{Geophysical Research Letters}},
  volume={41},
  year=2014,
  pages={4340-4346},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrickerElsnerCampJagger2014.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerElsner2014,
  author={James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger and Ian J. Elsner},
  title={{Tornado intensity estimated from damage path dimensions}},
  year=2014,
  journal={{PLoS ONE}},
  volume={9},
  number={9},
  pages={e107571},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerElsner2014.pdf}
}

@article{WidenEtAl2013,
  title={{Adjusted tornado probabilities}},
  author={H. M. Widen and James B. Elsner and R. B. Cruz and G. Xing and E. Fraza and L. Migliorelli and S. Strazzo and C. Amrine and B. Mulholland and M. Patterson and L. Michaels},
  journal={{Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology}},
  year=2013,
  volume=8,
  pages={1-12},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/WidenEtAl2013.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJagger2006,
  author={Elsner, James B. and Jagger, Thomas H.},
  title={Prediction models for annual US hurricane counts},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  year={2006},
  volume={19},
  number={12},
  pages={2935-2952},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJagger2006a.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsner2006,
  title={Climatology models for extreme hurricane winds near the United States},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={19},
  number={13},
  pages={3220--3236},
  year={2006},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsner2006.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerWidenChavas2014,
	author={James B. Elsner and Thomas H. Jagger and Holly M. Widen and Daniel R. Chavas},
	title={{Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United~States}},
	journal={{Environmental Research Letters}},
	volume=9,
	year=2014,
    number=2,
	pages={024018},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerWidenChavas2014.pdf}
	}
    
@article{ElsnerWiden2014,
  title={Predicting spring tornado activity in the central Great Plains by 1 March},
  author={Elsner, James B and Widen, Holly M},
  journal={Monthly Weather Review},
  volume={142},
  number={1},
  pages={259--267},
  year={2014},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerWiden2014.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerMichaelsScheitlinElsner2013,
	author={James B. Elsner and Laura E. Michaels and Kelsey N. Scheitlin and Ian J. Elsner},
	title={{The decreasing population bias in tornado reports}},
	journal={{Weather, Climate, and Society}},
	year={2013},
	volume={5},
	pages={221-232},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerMichaelsScheitlinElsner2013.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerHodgesJagger2012,
	author={James B. Elsner and R. E. Hodges and T. H. Jagger},
	journal={Climate Dynamics},
	number={1},
	pages={21-36},
	title={Spatial grids for hurricane climate research},
	volume={39},
	year={2012},
    url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerHodgesJagger2012.pdf}
 }
 
@article{ElsnerTrepanierStrazzoJagger2012,
  author={James B. Elsner and J. C. Trepanier and S. E. Strazzo and T. H. Jagger},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  title={Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to ocean warmth},
  year={2012},
  volume={39},
  number={17},
  issn={1944-8007},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerTrepanierStrazzoJagger2012.pdf}
}
    
@article{ElsnerJaggerNiu2000,
  title={Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20 th century},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas and Niu, Xu-Feng},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={27},
  number={12},
  pages={1743--1746},
  year={2000},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerNiu2000.pdf}
}

@article{KangLimElsnerShin2016,
  author={N.-Y. Kang and M.-S. Lim and James B. Elsner and D.-H. Shin},
  title={{Bayesian updating of track-forecast uncertainty for tropical cyclones}},
  journal={{Weather and Forecasting}},
  year=2016,
  volume={31},
  pages={626-631},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangLimElsnerShin2016.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerKossinJagger2008,
  author={Elsner, James B. and Kossin, James P. and Jagger, Thomas H.},
  title={The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones},
  journal={{Nature}},
  year={2008},
  volume={455},
  number={7209},
  pages={92-95},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerKossinJagger2008.pdf}
}

@article{Elsner2003,
  title={Tracking hurricanes},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={84},
  number={3},
  pages={353},
  year={2003},
  publisher={American Meteorological Society},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/Elsner2003.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerLiu2003,
  title={Examining the ENSO-typhoon hypothesis},
  author={Elsner, James B and Liu, Kam-biu},
  journal={Climate Research},
  volume={25},
  number={1},
  pages={43--54},
  year={2003},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerLiu2003.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerLiuKocher2000,
  title={Spatial variations in major US hurricane activity: Statistics and a physical mechanism},
  author={Elsner, James B and Liu, Kam-biu and Kocher, Bethany},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={13},
  number={13},
  pages={2293--2305},
  year={2000},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerLiuKocher2000.pdf}
}

@article{BoveOBrienElsnerLandseaNiu1998,
  title={Effect of El Ni{\~n}o on US landfalling hurricanes, revisited},
  author={Bove, Mark C and O'Brien, James J and Elsner, James B and Landsea, Chris W and Niu, Xufeng},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={79},
  number={11},
  pages={2477--2482},
  year={1998}
}

@article{ElsnerSchmertmann1994,
  title={Assessing forecast skill through cross validation},
  author={Elsner, James B and Schmertmann, CP},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={9},
  number={4},
  pages={619--624},
  year={1994},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerSchmertmann1994.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1992,
  title={Nonlinear prediction as a way of distinguishing chaos from random fractal sequences},
  journal={Nature},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  volume={358},
  pages={217--220},
  year={1992}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1988,
  title={The weather attractor over very short timescales},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={333},
  pages={545--547},
  year={1988},
  url = {http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1988.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerSchmertmann1993,
  author={James B. Elsner and Carl P. Schmertmann},
  title={{Improving extended-range seasonal predictions of intense Atlantic hurricane activity}},
  journal={{Weather and Forecasting}},
  year={1993},
  volume={8}, 
  pages={345-351},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerSchmertmann1993.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1992,
  title={Nonlinear prediction, chaos, and noise},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={73},
  number={1},
  pages={49--60},
  year={1992}
}

@article{ElsnerBossak2001,
  author={Elsner, James B and Bossak, B H},
  title={{Bayesian analysis of US hurricane climate}},
  journal={{Journal of Climate}},
  year={2001},
  volume={14},
  number={23},
  pages={4341-4350},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerBossak2001.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerKaraOwens1999,
  title={Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricane frequency},
  author={Elsner, James B and Kara, AB and Owens, MA},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={12},
  number={2},
  pages={427--437},
  year={1999},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerKaraOwens1999.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJagger2004,
  title={A hierarchical Bayesian approach to seasonal hurricane modeling},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={17},
  number={14},
  pages={2813--2827},
  year={2004},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJagger2004.pdf}
}

@article{Elsner2006,
  title={Evidence in support of the climate change--Atlantic hurricane hypothesis},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={33},
  number={16},
  year={2006},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/Elsner2006.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerGeorgakakos1993,
  title={Estimating the dimension of weather and climate attractors: important issues about the procedure and interpretation},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B and Georgakakos, KP},
  journal={Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume={50},
  number={15},
  pages={2549--2555},
  year={1993},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsnerGeorgakakos1993.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1989,
  title={Chaos, strange attractors, and weather},
  author={Tsonis, Anastasios A and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={70},
  number={1},
  pages={14--23},
  year={1989},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1989.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerBossakNiu2001,
  title={Secular changes to the ENSO-US hurricane relationship},
  author={Elsner, James B and Bossak, Brian H and Niu, Xu-Feng},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={28},
  number={21},
  pages={4123--4126},
  year={2001},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerBossakNiu2001.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerNiuJagger2004,
  title={Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach},
  author={Elsner, James B and Niu, Xufeng and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={17},
  number={13},
  pages={2652--2666},
  year={2004},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerNiuJagger2004.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerTsonis1991,
  title={Periodicity in DNA coding sequences: implications in gene evolution},
  author={Tsonis, Anastasios A and Elsner, James B and Tsonis, Panagiotis A},
  journal={Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  volume={151},
  number={3},
  pages={323--331},
  year={1991},
  publisher={Academic Press}
}

@article{ElsnerKocher2000,
  title={Global tropical cyclone activity: A link to the North Atlantic Oscillation},
  author={James B. Elsner and Kocher, Bethany},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={27},
  pages={129--132},
  year={2000},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerKocher2000.pdf}
}

@article{LehmillerKimberlainElsner1997,
  title={Seasonal prediction models for North Atlantic basin hurricane location},
  author={Lehmiller, GS and Kimberlain, TB and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Monthly Weather Review},
  volume={125},
  number={8},
  pages={1780--1791},
  year={1997},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/LehmillerKimberlainElsner1997.pdf}
}

@article{Elsner1992,
  title={Predicting time series using a neural network as a method of distinguishing chaos from noise},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General},
  volume={25},
  number={4},
  pages={843},
  year={1992},
  publisher={IOP Publishing}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerFogarty2009,
  title={Visibility network of United States hurricanes},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, TH and Fogarty, EA},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={36},
  number={16},
  year={2009},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerFogarty2009.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsnerNiu2001,
  title={A dynamic probability model of hurricane winds in coastal counties of the United States},
  author={Jagger, Thomas and Elsner, James B and Niu, Xufeng},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology},
  volume={40},
  number={5},
  pages={853--863},
  year={2001},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsnerNiu2001.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerBossak2001,
  title={Bayesian analysis of US hurricane climate},
  author={Elsner, James B and Bossak, Brian H},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={14},
  number={23},
  pages={4341--4350},
  year={2001},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerBossak2001.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1991,
  title={Do bidecadal oscillations exist in the global temperature record?},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, A. A.},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={353},
  pages={10},
  year={1991}
}

@article{TsonisKumarElsnerTsonis1996,
  title={Wavelet analysis of DNA sequences},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Kumar, P and Elsner, James B and Tsonis, PA},
  journal={Physical Review E},
  volume={53},
  number={2},
  pages={1828},
  year={1996},
  publisher={American Physical Society},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisKumarElsnerTsonis1996.pdf}
}

@article{HessElsnerLaSeur1995,
  title={Improving seasonal hurricane predictions for the Atlantic basin},
  author={Hess, JC and Elsner, James B and LaSeur, NE},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={10},
  number={2},
  pages={425--432},
  year={1995},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HessElsnerLaSeur1995.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisRoebberElsner1999,
  title={Long-range correlations in the extratropical atmospheric circulation: origins and implications},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Roebber, PJ and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={12},
  number={5},
  pages={1534--1541},
  year={1999}
}

@article{TsonisRoebberElsner1998,
  title={A characteristic time scale in the global temperature record},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Roebber, PJ and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={25},
  number={15},
  pages={2821--2823},
  year={1998}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerTsonis1997,
  title={Is DNA a language?},
  author={Tsonis, Anastasios A and Elsner, James B and Tsonis, Panagiotis A},
  journal={Journal of Theoretical Biology},
  volume={184},
  number={1},
  pages={25--29},
  year={1997},
  publisher={Academic Press}
}

@article{TsonisHuntElsner2003,
  title={On the relation between ENSO and global climate change},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Hunt, AG and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
  volume={84},
  number={3-4},
  pages={229--242},
  year={2003},
  publisher={Springer-Verlag},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisHuntElsner2003.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerLehmillerKimberlain1996,
  title={Objective classification of Atlantic hurricanes},
  author={Elsner, James B and Lehmiller, GS and Kimberlain, TB},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={9},
  number={11},
  pages={2880--2889},
  year={1996},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerLehmillerKimberlain1996.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerMurnaneJagger2006,
  title={Forecasting US hurricanes 6 months in advance},
  author={Elsner, James B and Murnane, Richard J and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={33},
  number={10},
  year={2006},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerMurnaneJagger2006.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerHuntJagger2005,
  title={Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B and Hunt, AG and Jagger, TH},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={32},
  number={9},
  year={2005}
}

@article{MurnaneEtAl2000,
  title={Model estimates hurricane wind speed probabilities},
  author={Mumane, Richard J and Barton, Chris and Collins, Eric and Donnelly, Jeffrey and Elsner, James B and Emanuel, Kerry and Ginis, Isaac and Howard, Susan and Landsea, Chris and Liu, Kam-biu and others},
  journal={Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union},
  volume={81},
  number={38},
  pages={433--438},
  year={2000}
}

@article{Elsner2007,
  title={Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Tellus A},
  volume={59},
  number={4},
  pages={476--485},
  year={2007},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/Elsner2007.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerLiu2008,
  title={Comparison of hurricane return levels using historical and geological records},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H and Liu, Kam-biu},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume={47},
  number={2},
  pages={368--374},
  year={2008},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerLiu2008.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJagger2008,
  title={United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, TH},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={35},
  number={18},
  year={2008},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJagger2008.pdf}
}

@article{CarterElsner1997,
  title={A statistical method for forecasting rainfall over Puerto Rico},
  author={Carter, MM and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={12},
  number={3},
  pages={515--525},
  year={1997},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/CarterElsner1997.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsner2009,
  title={Modeling tropical cyclone intensity with quantile regression},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={29},
  number={10},
  pages={1351--1361},
  year={2009},
  publisher={John Wiley \& Sons, Ltd.}
}

@article{JaggerNiuElsner2002,
  title={A space--time model for seasonal hurricane prediction},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Niu, Xufeng and Elsner, James B},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={22},
  number={4},
  pages={451--465},
  year={2002},
  publisher={John Wiley \& Sons, Ltd.},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerNiuElsner2002.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerKavlakov2001,
  title={Hurricane intensity changes associated with geomagnetic variation},
  author={Elsner, James B and Kavlakov, SP},
  journal={Atmospheric Science Letters},
  volume={2},
  number={1-4},
  pages={86--93},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerKavlakov2001.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonisJagger2006,
  title={High-frequency variability in hurricane power dissipation and its relationship to global temperature},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, Anastasios A and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={87},
  number={6},
  pages={763},
  year={2006},
  publisher={American Meteorological Society},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerTsonisJagger2006.pdf}
}

@article{KimberlainElsner1998,
  title={The 1995 and 1996 North Atlantic hurricane seasons: A return of the tropical-only hurricane},
  author={Kimberlain, Todd B and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={11},
  number={8},
  pages={2062--2069},
  year={1998},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KimberlainElsner1998.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1993b,
  title={Nonlinear dynamics established in the ENSO},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={20},
  number={3},
  pages={213--216},
  year={1993},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerTsonis1993b.pdf}
}

@article{MalmstadtScheitlinElsner2009,
  title={Florida hurricanes and damage costs},
  author={Malmstadt, Jill and Scheitlin, Kelsey and Elsner, James B.},
  journal={Southeastern Geographer},
  volume={49},
  number={2},
  pages={108--131},
  year={2009},
  publisher={The University of North Carolina Press},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/MalmstadtScheitlinElsner2009.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1989,
  title={Testing the global warming hypothesis},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={16},
  number={8},
  pages={795--797},
  year={1989},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1989.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1993,
  title={Complexity and predictability of hourly precipitation},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume={50},
  number={3},
  pages={400--405},
  year={1993},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerTsonis1993.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1987,
  title={Fractal characterization and simulation of lightning},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Beitr{\"a}ge zur Physik der Atmosph{\"a}re},
  volume={60},
  pages={187--192},
  year={1987},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1987.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerDickinsonRowe2008,
  title={Improving multiseason forecasts of North Atlantic hurricane activity},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H and Dickinson, Michael and Rowe, Dail},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={21},
  number={6},
  pages={1209--1219},
  year={2008},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerDickinsonRowe2008.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerTsonis2006,
  title={Estimated return periods for Hurricane Katrina},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, TH and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={33},
  number={8},
  year={2006},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerTsonis2006.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisTriantafyllouElsnerHoldzhamKirwan1994,
  title={An investigation of the ability of nonlinear methods to infer dynamics from observables},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Triantafyllou, GN and Elsner, James B and Holdzkom, JJ and Kirwan Jr, AD},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={75},
  number={9},
  pages={1623--1634},
  year={1994},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisTriantafyllouElsnerHoldzhamKirwan1994.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1995,
  title={Testing for scaling in natural forms and observables},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Statistical Physics},
  volume={81},
  number={5-6},
  pages={869--880},
  year={1995},
  publisher={Kluwer Academic Publishers-Plenum Publishers}
}

@article{MalmstadtElsnerJagger2010,
  title={Risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities},
  author={Malmstadt, Jill C and Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume={49},
  number={10},
  pages={2121--2132},
  year={2010},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/MalmstadtElsnerJagger2010.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJaggerHodges2010,
  title={Daily tropical cyclone intensity response to solar ultraviolet radiation},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, TH and Hodges, RE},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={37},
  number={9},
  year={2010},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJaggerHodges2010.pdf}
}

@article{FogartyElsnerJaggerLiuLouie2006,
  title={Variations in typhoon landfalls over China},
  author={Fogarty, Emily A and Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H and Liu, Kam-biu and Louie, Kin-sheun},
  journal={Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume={23},
  number={5},
  pages={665--677},
  year={2006},
  publisher={Science Press},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FogartyElsnerJaggerLiuLouie2006.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1994,
  title={Low-frequency oscillation},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Nature},
  volume=372,
  pages={507-508},
  year={1994}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1990,
  title={Multiple attractors, fractal basins and longterm climate dynamics},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Contributions to atmospheric physics},
  volume={63},
  number={3-4},
  pages={171--176},
  year={1990},
  publisher={Vieweg},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1990.pdf}
}

@article{MurnaneElsner2012,
  title={Maximum wind speeds and US hurricane losses},
  author={Murnane, Richard J and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={39},
  number={16},
  year={2012},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/MurnaneElsner2012.pdf}
}

@article{HessElsner1994,
  title={Historical developments leading to current forecast models of annual Atlantic hurricane activity},
  author={Hess, JC and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={75},
  number={9},
  pages={1611--1622},
  year={1994}
}

@article{TsonisEtAl1994,
  title={Searching for determinism in observed data: a review of the issues involved},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Triantafyllou, GN and Elsner, James B and others},
  journal={Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics},
  volume={1},
  number={1},
  pages={12--25},
  year={1994}
}

@article{WalshEtAl2015,
  title={Hurricanes and climate: the US CLIVAR working group on hurricanes},
  author={Walsh, Kevin JE and Camargo, Suzana J and Vecchi, Gabriel A and Daloz, Anne Sophie and Elsner, James B and Emanuel, Kerry and Horn, Michael and Lim, Young-Kwon and Roberts, Malcolm and Patricola, Christina and others},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={96},
  number={6},
  pages={997--1017},
  year={2015}
}

@article{ElsnerHodgesJagger2012,
  title={Spatial grids for hurricane climate research},
  author={Elsner, James B and Hodges, Robert E and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Climate dynamics},
  volume={39},
  number={1-2},
  pages={21--36},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Springer-Verlag},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerHodgesJagger2012.pdf}
}

@article{CarterElsner1996,
  title={Convective rainfall regions of Puerto Rico},
  author={Carter, Matthew M and Elsner, James B},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={16},
  number={9},
  pages={1033--1043},
  year={1996}
}

@article{ElsnerElsnerJagger2015,
  title={The increasing efficiency of tornado days in the United States},
  author={Elsner, James B and Elsner, Svetoslava C and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Climate Dynamics},
  volume={45},
  number={3-4},
  pages={651--659},
  year={2015},
  publisher={Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerElsnerJagger2015.pdf}
}

@article{ScheitlinElsnerMalmstadtHodgesJagger2010,
  title={Toward increased utilization of historical hurricane chronologies},
  author={Scheitlin, Kelsey N and Elsner, James B and Malmstadt, JC and Hodges, RE and Jagger, TH},
  journal={Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
  volume={115},
  number={D3},
  year={2010},
  pages={D3108},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ScheitlinElsnerMalmstadtHodgesJagger2010.pdf}
}

@article{KaraHelberBoyerElsner2009,
  title={Mixed layer depth in the Aegean, Marmara, Black and Azov Seas: Part I: general features},
  author={Kara, A Birol and Helber, Robert W and Boyer, Timothy P and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Marine Systems},
  volume={78},
  pages={S169--S180},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{HessElsner1994,
  title={Extended-range hindcasts of tropical-origin Atlantic hurricane activity},
  author={Hess, JC and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical research letters},
  volume={21},
  number={5},
  pages={365--368},
  year={1994}
}

@article{StrazzoElsnerLaRowHalperinZhao2013,
  title={Observed versus GCM-generated local tropical cyclone frequency: Comparisons using a spatial lattice},
  author={Strazzo, Sarah and Elsner, James B and LaRow, Timothy and Halperin, Daniel J and Zhao, Ming},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={26},
  number={21},
  pages={8257--8268},
  year={2013},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/StrazzoElsnerLaRowHalperinZhao2013.pdf}
}

@article{HodgesElsner2010,
  title={Evidence linking solar variability with US hurricanes},
  author={Hodges, Robert E and Elsner, James B},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={31},
  number={13},
  pages={1897--1907},
  year={2010},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HodgesElsner2010.pdf}
}

@article{ConvertinoElsnerMunozCarpenaKikerMartinez2011,
  title={Do tropical cyclones shape shorebird habitat patterns? Biogeoclimatology of snowy plovers in Florida},
  author={Convertino, Matteo and Elsner, James B and Mu{\~n}oz-Carpena, Rafael and Kiker, Gregory A and Martinez, Christopher J and Fischer, Richard A and Linkov, Igor},
  journal={PloS ONE},
  volume={6},
  number={1},
  pages={e15683},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Public Library of Science},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ConvertinoEtAl2011.pdf}
}

@article{KangElsner2012,
  title={Consensus on climate trends in western North Pacific tropical cyclones},
  author={Kang, Nam-Young and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={25},
  number={21},
  pages={7564--7573},
  year={2012},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2012b.pdf}
}

@article{Elsner2007,
  title={Climatology: Tempests in time},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={447},
  number={7145},
  pages={647--649},
  year={2007},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/Elsner2007.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1997,
  title={Global temperature as a regulator of climate predictability},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena},
  volume={108},
  number={1},
  pages={191--196},
  year={1997},
  publisher={North-Holland},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1997.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1991,
  title={Comparisons of observed Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature records},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={18},
  number={7},
  pages={1229--1232},
  year={1991}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerTsonis1989,
  title={On the dynamics of a forced reaction-diffusion model for biological pattern formation},
  author={Tsonis, Anastasios A and Elsner, James B and Tsonis, Panagiotis A},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume={86},
  number={13},
  pages={4938--4942},
  year={1989},
  publisher={National Acad Sciences},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsnerTsonis1989.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsnerBurch2011,
  title={Climate and solar signals in property damage losses from hurricanes affecting the United States},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B and Burch, R King},
  journal={Natural Hazards},
  volume={58},
  number={1},
  pages={541--557},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Springer},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsnerBurch2011.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJagger2006,
  title={Comparison of hindcasts anticipating the 2004 Florida hurricane season},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={21},
  number={2},
  pages={182--192},
  year={2006},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerJagger2006.pdf}
}

@article{CarterElsnerBennett2000,
  title={A quantitative precipitation forecast experiment for Puerto Rico},
  author={Carter, Matthew M and Elsner, James B and Bennett, SP},
  journal={Journal of Hydrology},
  volume={239},
  number={1},
  pages={162--178},
  year={2000},
  publisher={Elsevier},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/CarterElsnerBennett2000.pdf}
}

@article{JaggerElsner2010,
  title={A consensus model for seasonal hurricane prediction},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={23},
  number={22},
  pages={6090--6099},
  year={2010},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsner2010b.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerBurchJagger2009,
  title={Catastrophe finance: An emerging discipline},
  author={Elsner, James B and Burch, R King and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union},
  volume={90},
  number={33},
  pages={281--282},
  year={2009},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerBurchJagger2009.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerNiuTsonis1998,
  title={Multi-year prediction model of North Atlantic hurricane activity},
  author={Elsner, James B and Niu, X and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
  volume={68},
  number={1-2},
  pages={43--51},
  year={1998},
  publisher={Springer-Verlag}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1996,
  title={Mapping the channels of communication between the tropics and higher latitudes in the atmosphere},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena},
  volume={92},
  number={3},
  pages={237--244},
  year={1996},
  publisher={North-Holland}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1992,
  title={Oscillating global temperature},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Nature},
  volume={356},
  pages={751},
  year={1992}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1990,
  title={Comments on “Dimension analysis of climatic data},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={3},
  number={12},
  pages={1502--1505},
  year={1990},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsner1990.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerStrazzoJaggerLaRowZhao2013,
  title={Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to SST in the Atlantic from observations and GCMs},
  author={Elsner, James B and Strazzo, Sarah E and Jagger, Thomas H and LaRow, Timothy and Zhao, Ming},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={26},
  number={16},
  pages={5949--5957},
  year={2013},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerStrazzoJaggerLaRowZhao2013.pdf}
}

@article{StrazzoElsnerTrepanierEmanuel2013,
  title={Frequency, intensity, and sensitivity to sea surface temperature of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in best-track and simulated data},
  author={Strazzo, Sarah and Elsner, James B and Trepanier, Jill C and Emanuel, Kerry A},
  journal={Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume={5},
  number={3},
  pages={500--509},
  year={2013},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/StrazzoElsnerTrepanierEmanuel2013.pdf}
}

@article{ScheitlinElsnerLewersMalmstadtJagger2011,
  title={Risk assessment of hurricane winds for Eglin air force base in northwestern Florida, USA},
  author={Scheitlin, Kelsey N and Elsner, James B and Lewers, Shawn W and Malmstadt, Jill C and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Theoretical and applied climatology},
  volume={105},
  number={3-4},
  pages={287--296},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Springer Vienna},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ScheitlinElsnerLewersMalmstadtJagger2011.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerJagger2008,
  title={Hurricanes and climate change},
  author={Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={89},
  number={5},
  pages={677--680},
  year={2008},
  publisher={[Lancaster, Pa., etc., American Meteorological Society]}
}

@article{NiuMcKeagueElsner2003,
  title={Seasonal space--time models for climate systems},
  author={Niu, Xu-Feng and McKeague, Ian W and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes},
  volume={6},
  number={2},
  pages={111--133},
  year={2003},
  publisher={Kluwer Academic Publishers},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/NiuMcKeagueElsner2003.pdf}
}

@article{KaraElsnerRuscher1998,
  title={Numerical models of boundary layer processes over and around the Gulf of Mexico during a return-flow event},
  author={Kara, A Birol and Elsner, James B and Ruscher, Paul H},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={13},
  number={4},
  pages={921--933},
  year={1998}
}

@article{SmithEtAl2013,
  title={Transitioning from CRD to CDRD in Bayesian retrieval of rainfall from satellite passive microwave measurements: Part 3--Identification of optimal meteorological tags},
  author={Smith, EA and Leung, HWY and Elsner, James B and Mehta, AV and Tripoli, GJ and Casella, D and Dietrich, S and Mugnai, A and Panegrossi, G and San{\`o}, P},
  journal={Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci},
  volume={13},
  pages={1185--1208},
  year={2013}
}

@article{JaggerElsner2012,
  title={Hurricane clusters in the vicinity of Florida},
  author={Jagger, Thomas H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume={51},
  number={5},
  pages={869--877},
  year={2012},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/JaggerElsner2012.pdf}
}

@article{BossakElsner2004,
  title={Plotting early nineteenth century hurricane information},
  author={Bossak, Brian H and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union},
  volume={85},
  pages={1--5},
  year={2004},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/BossakElsner2004.pdf}
}

@article{RoebberTsonisElsner1997,
  title={Do climate simulations from models forced by averaged sea surface temperatures represent actual dynamics?},
  author={Roebber, PJ and Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics},
  volume={4},
  number={2},
  pages={93--100},
  year={1997}
}

@article{KangElsner2015,
  title={Trade-off between intensity and frequency of global tropical cyclones},
  author={Kang, Nam-Young and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Nature Climate Change},
  volume={5},
  number={7},
  pages={661--664},
  year={2015},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2015.pdf}
}

@article{HodgesElsner2012,
  title={The spatial pattern of the sun-hurricane connection across the North Atlantic},
  author={Hodges, Robert E and Elsner, James B},
  journal={ISRN Meteorology},
  volume={2012},
  year={2012},
  pages={1-12},
  publisher={Hindawi Publishing Corporation},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HodgesElsner2012.pdf}
}

@article{ArguezElsner2001,
  title={Trends in US tropical cyclone mortality during the past century},
  author={Arguez, Anthony and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Florida Geographer},
  volume={32},
  pages={28--37},
  year={2001}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1999,
  title={The autocorrelation function and human influences on climate},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={science},
  volume={285},
  number={5427},
  pages={495--495},
  year={1999},
  publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science}
}

@article{DasEtAl2013,
  title={Reconstruction of paleostorms and paleoenvironment using geochemical proxies archived in the sediments of two coastal lakes in northwest Florida},
  author={Das, Oindrila and Wang, Yang and Donoghue, Joseph and Xu, Xiaomei and Coor, Jennifer and Elsner, James and Xu, Yingfeng},
  journal={Quaternary Science Reviews},
  volume={68},
  pages={142--153},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Pergamon}
}

@article{TsonisElsnerTsonis1993,
  title={On the existence of scaling in DNA sequences},
  author={Tsonis, Anastasios A and Elsner, James B and Tsonis, Panagiotis A},
  journal={Biochemical and Biophysical Research Communications},
  volume={197},
  number={3},
  pages={1288--1295},
  year={1993},
  publisher={Elsevier},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/TsonisElsnerTsonis1993.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerDragLast1989,
  title={Synoptic weather patterns associated with the Milwaukee, Wisconsin flash flood of 6 August 1986},
  author={Elsner, James B and Drag, Walter H and Last, Jeffrey K},
  journal={Weather and Forecasting},
  volume={4},
  number={4},
  pages={537--554},
  year={1989},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerDragLast1989.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerMecikalskiTsonis1989,
  title={A shore-parallel cloud band over Lake Michigan},
  author={Elsner, James B and Mecikalski, JR and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Monthly Weather Review},
  volume={117},
  number={12},
  pages={2822--2823},
  year={1989},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerMecikalskiTsonis1989.pdf}
}

@article{KangElsner2012,
  title={An empirical framework for tropical cyclone climatology},
  author={Kang, Nam-Young and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Climate Dynamics},
  volume={39},
  number={3-4},
  pages={669--680},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Springer-Verlag},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/KangElsner2012.pdf}
}

@article{ElsnerFuelbergDealOrrockLehmillerRuscher1996,
  title={Tallahassee, Florida, minimum temperature anomaly: Description and speculations},
  author={Elsner, James B and Fuelberg, HE and Deal III, RL and Orrock, JA and Lehmiller, GS and Ruscher, PH},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={77},
  number={4},
  pages={721--728},
  year={1996},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerFuelbergDealOrrockLehmillerRuscher1996.pdf}
}

@article{Elsner1992,
  title={A description of low-frequency atmospheric oscillations over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere using singular spectrum analysis},
  author={Elsner, James B},
  journal={Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume={19},
  number={17},
  pages={1775--1778},
  year={1992}
}

@article{KaraElsnerRuscher1998,
  title={Physical mechanism for the Tallahassee, Florida, minimum temperature anomaly},
  author={Kara, A Birol and Elsner, James B and Ruscher, Paul H},
  journal={Journal of Applied Meteorology},
  volume={37},
  number={1},
  pages={101--113},
  year={1998}
}

@article{ElsnerEtAl1994,
  title={Empirically derived climate predictability over the extratropical northern hemisphere},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA and others},
  journal={Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics},
  volume={1},
  number={1},
  pages={41--44},
  year={1994}
}

@article{TriantafyllouElsnerLascaratosKoutitasTsonis1995,
  title={Structure and properties of the attractor of a marine dynamical system},
  author={Triantafyllou, GN and Elsner, James B and Lascaratos, A and Koutitas, C and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Mathematical and Computer Modelling},
  volume={21},
  number={6},
  pages={73--86},
  year={1995},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{ElsnerHonore1994,
  title={Ignoring chaos},
  author={Elsner, James B and Honore, JC},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={75},
  number={10},
  pages={1846--1847},
  year={1994},
  publisher={[Lancaster, Pa., etc., American Meteorological Society]}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1991,
  title={A note on the spatial structure of the covariability of observed Northern Hemisphere surface air temperatures},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Pure and Applied Geophysics},
  volume={137},
  number={1-2},
  pages={133--146},
  year={1991},
  publisher={Birkh{\"a}user-Verlag}
}

@article{TrepanierNeedhamElsnerJagger2015,
  title={Combining surge and wind risk from hurricanes using a copula model: an example from Galveston, Texas},
  author={Trepanier, Jill C and Needham, Hal F and Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={The Professional Geographer},
  volume={67},
  number={1},
  pages={52--61},
  year={2015},
  publisher={Routledge}
}

@article{FrazaElsner2014,
  title={A spatial climatology of North Atlantic hurricane intensity change},
  author={Fraza, Erik and Elsner, James B},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={34},
  number={9},
  pages={2918--2924},
  year={2014},
  publisher={John Wiley \& Sons, Ltd},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrazaElsner2014.pdf}
}

@article{ScheitlinMesevElsner2013,
  title={Polyline averaging using distance surfaces: A spatial hurricane climatology},
  author={Scheitlin, Kelsey N and Mesev, Victor and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Computers \& Geosciences},
  volume={52},
  pages={126--131},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Pergamon},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ScheitlinMesevElsner2013.pdf}
}

@article{HodgesElsnerJagger2012,
  title={Predictive models for time to acceptance: An example using “hurricane” articles in AMS journals},
  author={Hodges, Robert E and Elsner, James B and Jagger, Thomas H},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={93},
  number={6},
  pages={879--882},
  year={2012},
  publisher={American Meteorological Society},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/HodgesElsnerJagger2012.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1998,
  title={Comments on “The Southern Oscillation as an Example of a Simple, Ordered Subsystem of a Complex Chaotic System”},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Journal of Climate},
  volume={11},
  number={9},
  pages={2453--2454},
  year={1998}
}

@article{ElsnerTsonis1993,
  title={Corrigendum to “Nonlinear Prediction, Chaos, and Noise”},
  author={Elsner, James B and Tsonis, AA},
  journal={Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume={74},
  number={2},
  pages={243--243},
  year={1993}
}

@article{FrazaElsner2015,
  title={A climatological study of the effect of sea-surface temperature on North Atlantic hurricane intensification},
  author={Fraza, Erik and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Physical Geography},
  volume={36},
  number={5},
  pages={395--407},
  year={2015},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/FrazaElsner2015.pdf}
}

@article{WidenElsnerPauUejio2016,
  title={Graphical inference in geographical research},
  author={Widen, Holly M and Elsner, James B and Pau, Stephanie and Uejio, Christopher K},
  journal={Geographical Analysis},
  year={2016},
  volume={48},
  pages={115--131},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/WidenElsnerPauUejio2016.pdf}
}

@article{StrazzoElsnerLaRow2015,
  title={Quantifying the sensitivity of maximum, limiting, and potential tropical cyclone intensity to SST: Observations versus the FSU/COAPS global climate model},
  author={Strazzo, Sarah E and Elsner, James B and LaRow, Timothy E},
  journal={Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume={7},
  number={2},
  pages={586--599},
  year={2015},
}

@article{KaraElsner2009,
  title={Characteristics of the atmospheric boundary layer for coastal and inland locations around the Gulf of Mexico},
  author={Kara, A Birol and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Atm{\'o}sfera},
  volume={12},
  number={1},
  pages={1--13},
  year={2009}
}

@article{SikdarElsner1987,
  title={Large-scale circulation departures related to wet episodes in North-East Brazil},
  author={Sikdar, Dhirendra N and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society},
  volume={113},
  number={476},
  pages={567--580},
  year={1987},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{SikdarElsner1987,
  title={Intra-seasonal variability of rainfall and atmospheric energetics over northeast Brazil during the rainy season of 1979},
  author={Sikdar, Dhirendra N and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Tellus A},
  volume={39},
  number={1},
  pages={49--60},
  year={1987},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library},
  url={http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/SikdarElsner1987a.pdf}
}

@article{TsonisElsner1991,
  title={Multiple fractal dimensions in snow},
  author={Tsonis, AA and Elsner, James B},
  journal={Atmospheric Research},
  volume={26},
  number={1},
  pages={13--17},
  year={1991},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}